top of page
Tick Boom Home Icon.png
Tick Boom Blog Icon.png
YouTube Icon Red.png
Writer's pictureNathan McLean

How much coronavirus is there in the world right now?

There are many ways to think about this question, but the technique I want to focus on is something called Fermi estimates, which were highlighted in one of my recent textbook readings. If you have ever heard the phrase "back-of-the-envelope" calculation, then you have inadvertently heard of Fermi estimates. They are championed as a great way to get students to learn math because they have to go beyond regurgitating formulas and actually think deeply to approach a problem.


Whilst the label "Fermi estimate" is new to me, I've actually been exposed to these kinds of ideas for a long time. They are an old-time favourite for interviews at consulting firms, and I would often pose Fermi problems when interviewing financial modelling candidates (my go-to options being how many gravediggers in Australia, and how many planes in the sky).


Almost by coincidence, right after doing my reading on Fermi estimates I encountered Numberphile's recent video on calculating how much coronavirus there is in the world, where they use the technique to argue that all of the world's SARS-CoV-2 particles would fit into a single can of Coke. Tick, boom! You can check it out here:



39 views

Comments


bottom of page